Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 2:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has made a whopping 43.6% of his shots from downtown this season, a sizeable increase from his 30.7 rate last season.
The Jazz will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Pelicans (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (22nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has converted a mere 30.6% of his field goals this year, a significant dropoff from his 38.3 rate last year.
Simone Fontecchio has tallied 12.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 11th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Jazz rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a hard one; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (12.2).
Simone Fontecchio has attempted 0.0 free throws per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.