Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 5.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 28th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.7%).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game this year (12th-least in the NBA).
Simone Fontecchio will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production for all stats.

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