Shake Milton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Shake Milton

NBA · Player Props

Shake Milton

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Shake Milton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing squads have tallied 28.8 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 45.9% rate, Shake Milton's shooting efficiency has diminished this season to 39.1%.
Shake Milton has converted a measly 22.0% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 33.1 rate last season.
In terms of offense, the Pistons's feeble 112.9 points per game rates 8th-fewest in the league this year.
With the home court advantage, the Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have attempted 26.8 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) against the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

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