Shake Milton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Shake Milton

G-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 10:12 PM EST

Analysis

Shake Milton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shake Milton has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 17th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.
This year, their opposition has totaled 105.1 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive output.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Shake Milton has made 94.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Shake Milton slots into the 7th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a a weak 33.7% rate this year.
Shake Milton has been on the court for 15.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 5thworst in in the league on the road with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has secured 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have attempted 24.4 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the foul line.