Shake Milton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Shake Milton

NBA · Player Props

Shake Milton

G-F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Shake Milton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the 76ers.
The Hawks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hawks may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 13th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Shake Milton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production for all stats.

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