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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Steals
Player Prop - 5/7/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 1.7 steals per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

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