Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 17, 2024

Updated Dec 17, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 4.7 defensive boards per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the league's hottest by this metric in recent games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.