Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
On their home court, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance for all stats.