Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 6.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's tallied overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to see a spike in production in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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