Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:13 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 1.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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