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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 5.3 defensive boards per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Without the home court advantage, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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