Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 1:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted a whopping 5.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 4.0 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with only 6.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Warriors have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands to suffer a reduction in production for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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