Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2026

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2026

Updated May 11, 2026 10:33 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+118/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Lakers, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for scoring; when the Los Angeles Lakers are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have put up the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (37.1%).
The 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing away from home with a mere 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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