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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 5/28/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year playing at home.

In comparison to last season's 3.6 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 5.7 per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 126.2 points per game when playing at home rates best in the league over the last 25 games.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (39.8%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).

The Thunder check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

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