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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 100th percentile, tallying a monstrous 32.3 points per game this year.Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 7.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.5 minutes per game at home this year.The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a hard matchup.The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.As a team, the Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 5th-worst in the league this year with a lowly 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.
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