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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 32.7 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.
  • Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.4 minutes per game this year.
  • The Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up a colossal 8.8 foul shots per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has failed to make 3.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.3 mark last season.
  • The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Kings are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 9th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (30.6%).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Sacramento Kings).
  • In terms of drawing fouls, the Thunder's unimpressive 20.2 foul shot attempts per game measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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