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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/23/2025

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 32.8 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 2.7 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA while on the road this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 42.1% on field goals (8th-worst in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, creating a hard matchup.

The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.2 free throws per game.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the LA Clippers are at home (8th-least in the NBA).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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