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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 46.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 threes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.6 mark last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 33.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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