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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 32.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.5 minutes per game this year.

In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's fantastic 120.4 points per game settles in as the 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 7th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has missed 3.8 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.3 mark last year.

The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (15.2).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 6thworst in in the league while playing at home with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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