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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 12/5/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 12.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this season on the road.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to raise plays for the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a challenging one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).

The Thunder have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at drawing fouls as the away team: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 19.2 free throws per game.

The matchup against Toronto may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are at home (5th-least in the NBA).

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