Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 29, 2024 10:30 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 33.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's scored overall this year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 48.9% of his treys over the last 5 games, 14.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.4 minutes per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to being on the road in this contest.