Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 2:55 AM UTC

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 98th percentile, registering an enormous 28.7 points per game this year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 46.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The fastest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).
The Kings have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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