Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 8:03 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 96th percentile, registering a monstrous 25.4 points per game at home this year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 80th percentile.
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 115.4 points per game with the home court advantage places 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 45.6% on shot attempts from the field (7th-best in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, creating a good matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.