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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 5/15/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 99th percentile, logging an enormous 30.0 points per game this year.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 82nd percentile for scoring performance while at home with a very good 53.8% rate this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

In regard to offense, the Thunder's excellent 122.1 points per game as the home team places 2nd-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted just 8.6 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 10.8 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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