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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 5/13/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has registered 30.0 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 83rd percentile for 3-point proficiency with a remarkable 38.8% rate this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's played overall this season.

As it relates to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 119.1 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

In contrast to last year's 10.8 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's number of foul shots has dropped this year to 8.7 foul shots per game.

The matchup against the Mavericks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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