Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 9, 2024

Updated May 9, 2024 9:41 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 29.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 82nd percentile for shooting prowess while playing at home with an outstanding 53.8% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year.
With respect to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's stellar 122.3 points per game playing at home ranks 2nd-best in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
In comparison to last season's 10.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's number of free throw attempts has regressed this season to 8.7 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).