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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 99th percentile, averaging a massive 30.3 points per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 48.1% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 12.9% more than he's made from downtown overall this year with the home court advantage.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted a mere 8.7 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 10.8 rate last season.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

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