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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 53.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 121.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).

The 6th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made a measly 7.8 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 9.8 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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