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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 99th percentile, posting a colossal 31.0 points per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 55.4% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.

As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 25 games.

The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.

The matchup against Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are at home (25th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.3).

The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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