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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has logged 31.9 points per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game this year.

The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

The Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.0 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Lakers are at home, opposing starting SGs have posted the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (37.1%).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk a mere 7.7 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 9.8 mark last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander figures to see a decline in production in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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