Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 54.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 51.5% on field goals (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, creating a positive matchup.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted a lowly 7.6 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 9.8 mark last season.

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