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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
  • The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
  • The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
  • The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • In contrast to last season's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws hit have declined this season to 7.7 per game.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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