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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 99th percentile, averaging a whopping 30.9 points per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 27th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.6).

The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made a mere 7.6 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 9.8 mark last season.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (13th-least in the league).

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