Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 30.7 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 11th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Lakers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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