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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The 10th-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 9.4 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely see a rise in production across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made a measly 19.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 41.3 mark last year.

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league away from home since the start of last season.

The matchup against Cleveland is a hard one; when the Cavaliers are away from home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs since the start of last season (15.6).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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