Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 99th percentile, putting up a massive 31.0 points per game away from his home court since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 35.0 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a good one for shots from the field; when the Pelicans are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (15.2).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 6thbest in in the league as the road team with 11.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
On the road, the Pelicans have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.8 fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season.
In terms of shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's poor 46.6% field goal percentage as the away team ranks 7th-weakest in the league since the start of last season.

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