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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's scored over the course of the season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 39.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.2% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.9).

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.3 free throws per game over the last 25 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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