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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's posted in all games this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 52.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 21.7% more than he's sunk overall this season playing at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one; when the Warriors are on the road, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.1).

The Warriors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Thunder.

The matchup against Golden State is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are away from home (9th-least in the NBA).

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