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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's scored overall this season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 52.6% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 21.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Jazz is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.7).

The Jazz have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-least in the NBA).

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