Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for scoring; the other team have shot for the 3rd-lowest FG% in the league this year (44.7%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.
The Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; when the Suns are on their home court, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 26.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-most in the league).