Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk an impressive 10.3 shots made from the field per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.5 mark last year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The matchup against Jae'Sean Tate is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when matched up against opposing starting SGs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 7.3 shots from downtown per game (100th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Rockets have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Jae'Sean Tate is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Tate is away from his home court and defending fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game (24th percentile).

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