Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots

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NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-192/+148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 51.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 13.7% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have put up the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (34.2%).
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (3.8).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
At home, the Lakers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (15.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).