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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 5/5/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 6.3 assists per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard in recent games.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.5 minutes per game at home this year.

The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.

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