Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 6.2 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard recently: 96th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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