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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 1/20/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged a whopping 6.3 assists per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.4 assists per game last year.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
  • The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
  • The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
  • While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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