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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 3/7/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 8.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 33.7 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home.

The Warriors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce opportunities for the Thunder.

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