Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled 5.9 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 93rd percentile.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (which also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Cavaliers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Thunder have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Cavaliers.

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