Scoot Henderson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Scoot Henderson

NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scoot Henderson has averaged 6.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Scoot Henderson slots into the 100th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.7 fouls per game this year.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
Scoot Henderson will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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