Scoot Henderson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Scoot Henderson

NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scoot Henderson has put up 4.1 assists per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 13 games while on their home court.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 13 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Scoot Henderson places in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 4.2 fouls per game at home this year.
The Clippers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers (preserving possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
Scoot Henderson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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