Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Feb 11, 2026

Updated Feb 11, 2026 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Saddiq Bey has tallied 22.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.